CFB’s Best Bet: Florida, Texas A&M Has Much to Prove in Week 4 originally appeared NBC Sports Boston
Week 4 of the college football season is shaping up to be an exciting week. New AP Poll Top 25.
Most teams have completed their non-conference schedules early in the season. That means conference play is on the rise, which should lead to better, more competitive matchups.
Here are our picks for the must-see games on the Week 4 schedule (Best bet record of the season: 5-6)
No. No. 5 Clemson. 21 Wake Forest
Time/TV channel: Saturday, September at 12:00 noon ET on ABC
expand: Clemson -7
This game is likely to be Clemson’s toughest ACC matchup of the season. That said, there is little reason to bet on the Tigers on Saturday.
Clemson are 6-3 against Spread (ATS) and are 9-0 in their last nine matches. The Tigers have also won 17 of his 20 road games recently, and he’s won 10 in a row against the Demon Deacons. Clemson has also been 4-1 ATS in his last five ACC contests.
Clemson are scoring 41.3 points per game this season, and their defense hasn’t started playing their best football. Wake Forest narrowly avoided an embarrassing upset in Week 3, where he defeated the far inferior Liberty his team 37–36.
Tigers keep rolling.
Choose: Clemson -7
No. 20 No. 11 Tennessee in Florida
Time/TV channel: Saturday, September 24 at 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS
expand: Tennessee -11
Florida ranked Utah No. 7 at home at the time. Since then, the Gators have suffered a Week 2 loss to Kentucky and a 31-28 win over a South Florida team that beat them 2-10 last season.
Gators quarterback Anthony Richardson threw two interceptions in consecutive weeks and threw for a total of 30 rushing yards in the span. , forced six turnovers in three games.
Florida is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games outside of The Swamp. The Gators are also 0-5 ATS in their last five SEC games.
This spread is a little high, but the Gators have shown nothing over the last two weeks to suggest that this matchup will be very competitive.
Choose: Tennessee -11
No. 10 No. 23 Texas A&M in Arkansas
expand: Texas A&M -2.5
It will be a big game for both schools, vying for positioning and an important tiebreaker in the highly loaded SEC West Division.
Neither team was very impressive in Week 3. Arkansas actually trailed Missouri State 27-17 in the fourth quarter with a 38-27 win. Texas A&M suffered an embarrassing loss to Appalachia State with his 17-9 victory over Miami, Florida.
Arkansas has the worst pass defense in the nation, giving up 352.7 yards per game. In what would normally be surprising, the Aggies’ passing attack averaged just 208 yards per game, the second-lowest of any SEC school. Aggies head coach Jimbo Fischer benched quarterback Haynes King to start the junior transfer Max Johnson vs. Miami. Completed the pass with a touchdown.
Arkansas averaged 37.6 points per game over three weeks. Texas A&M gave him 20.6 points per game. It’s hard to imagine the Aggies catching up to the Razorbacks’ strong offense, especially Texas A&M’s weaknesses at quarterback.
The Razorbacks are 5-1 ATS over their last six games. They’re also a 4-1 ATS over Texas A&M in their last five games, and 4-1 in his final five-game SEC win.
Choose: Arkansas +2.5